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Wales vs Denmark: preview, stats and prediction

Nations League (Europe) · 04.10.2026 · 22:45 (GMT+4)
Wales — Denmark

Nations League (Europe): Wales vs Denmark, Sunday, 4 October at 22:45 (GMT+4). We break down both teams' recent matches and estimate how many corners, cards and fouls to expect.

Team form

Wales
WLLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L. Goals: 0.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

ForAgainst
Corners5.25.8
Cards1.41.4
Fouls11.412.0
Shots13.017.8
Shots on target4.45.2
Offsides2.03.2
Throw-ins15.416.0
Goal kicks7.87.4
Denmark
LWLWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L. Goals: 1.6 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

ForAgainst
Corners3.44.2
Cards1.41.6
Fouls8.413.0
Shots13.410.6
Shots on target4.65.2
Offsides2.21.4
Throw-ins16.013.2
Goal kicks5.29.2

Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Wales 0 wins, 0 draws, Denmark 4 wins.

Average per meeting:

Corners8.5
Cards5.0
Fouls23.5
Shots28.3
Shots on target8.5
Offsides3.3
Throw-ins37.5
Goal kicks17.3

Key facts

Most confident picks

Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.

Our expectations

Our model expects around 9.9 corners, 4.1 cards, 23.2 fouls, 29.8 shots in this match.

IncidentTotalWalesDenmark
Corners9.95.34.6
Cards4.12.11.9
Fouls23.212.510.7
Shots29.812.817.1
Shots on target10.74.66.1
Offsides3.31.41.9
Throw-ins37.018.918.1
Goal kicks16.08.37.7

Full match stats and prediction →

This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+