Ukraine vs Hungary: preview, stats and prediction
Ukraine host Hungary on Monday, 5 October at 22:45 (GMT+4) — Nations League (Europe). Below: team form, head-to-head record and our model's expectations for match incidents.
Team form
UkraineLast 5: 2W 1D 2L. Goals: 0.8 scored, 1 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| Cards | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 8.6 |
| Shots | 7.2 | 12.8 |
| Shots on target | 2.4 | 3.8 |
| Offsides | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Throw-ins | 15.0 | 17.6 |
| Goal kicks | 8.0 | 5.0 |
HungaryLast 5: 3W 1D 1L. Goals: 1.2 scored, 0.6 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 4.0 | 4.4 |
| Cards | 2.8 | 4.4 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 17.2 |
| Shots | 18.8 | 9.4 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 3.0 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| Throw-ins | 21.8 | 18.8 |
| Goal kicks | 5.4 | 8.0 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
These teams have no recent head-to-head matches with recorded statistics.
Key facts
- Ukraine average 15 shots per game at home and 7 away — and this one is at home.
- Every one of Hungary's last 9 matches had at least 24 fouls.
- Ukraine's high in the last 10: 7 cards against Hungary (1–0) — their average is 2.8.
- None of Ukraine's last 8 matches had more than 8 shots on target.
- Hungary had more shots than their opponent in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Hungary kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Offsides: Under 4.5 — 72%
- Cards: Under 6.5 — 70%
- Goal kicks: Under 17.5 — 70%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 8.4 corners, 5.4 cards, 25 fouls, 27.1 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Ukraine | Hungary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 8.4 | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| Cards | 5.4 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| Fouls | 25.0 | 13.8 | 11.2 |
| Shots | 27.1 | 10.9 | 16.2 |
| Shots on target | 9.3 | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Offsides | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Throw-ins | 38.0 | 19.7 | 18.3 |
| Goal kicks | 15.3 | 8.7 | 6.6 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+