Romania vs Sweden: preview, stats and prediction
Nations League (Europe): Romania vs Sweden, Monday, 5 October at 22:45 (GMT+4). We break down both teams' recent matches and estimate how many corners, cards and fouls to expect.
Team form
RomaniaLast 5: 1W 1D 3L. Goals: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 4.2 | 6.0 |
| Cards | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| Fouls | 14.6 | 8.6 |
| Shots | 12.2 | 16.8 |
| Shots on target | 3.8 | 6.6 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Throw-ins | 14.0 | 16.0 |
| Goal kicks | 7.0 | 6.2 |
SwedenLast 5: 2W 2D 1L. Goals: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| Cards | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Fouls | 9.2 | 13.6 |
| Shots | 10.0 | 13.0 |
| Shots on target | 4.4 | 5.0 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Throw-ins | 15.0 | 15.2 |
| Goal kicks | 7.4 | 5.4 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Romania 1 win, 0 draws, Sweden 3 wins.
Average per meeting:
Key facts
- Romania average 0.6 cards per game at home and 3 away — and this one is at home.
- Romania's high in the last 10: 13 shots on target against San Marino (7–1) — their average is 4.1.
- Sweden have conceded in each of their last 15 matches.
- Romania have lost 3 matches in a row.
- Sweden have had no more than 12 fouls in any of their last 9 matches.
- Sweden average 0.6 cards per game over their last 5 matches — 72% below the league average.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Cards: Under 5.5 — 75%
- Offsides: Under 4.5 — 73%
- Goal kicks: Under 17.5 — 69%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 8.5 corners, 4.2 cards, 24.9 fouls, 26.4 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Romania | Sweden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 8.5 | 5.2 | 3.3 |
| Cards | 4.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Fouls | 24.9 | 13.0 | 11.9 |
| Shots | 26.4 | 13.3 | 13.1 |
| Shots on target | 11.1 | 6.4 | 4.7 |
| Offsides | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Throw-ins | 38.9 | 20.1 | 18.9 |
| Goal kicks | 15.4 | 7.5 | 7.9 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+