Portugal vs Norway: preview, stats and prediction
Nations League (Europe): Portugal vs Norway, Sunday, 4 October at 22:45 (GMT+4). We break down both teams' recent matches and estimate how many corners, cards and fouls to expect.
Team form
PortugalLast 5: 4W 0D 1L. Goals: 1.8 scored, 1 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 6.2 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| Shots | 15.8 | 13.4 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| Throw-ins | 13.8 | 15.4 |
| Goal kicks | 7.2 | 7.6 |
NorwayLast 5: 2W 0D 3L. Goals: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| Fouls | 9.0 | 9.6 |
| Shots | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 5.8 |
| Offsides | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| Throw-ins | 14.8 | 15.8 |
| Goal kicks | 7.2 | 6.2 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Portugal 2 wins, 0 draws, Norway 0 wins.
Average per meeting:
Key facts
- Portugal's high in the last 10: 6 cards against Norway (2–1) — their average is 1.8.
- Both teams scored in 10 of Norway's last 10 matches.
- Every one of Norway's last 8 matches had at least 9 shots on target.
- None of Portugal's last 6 matches had more than 22 fouls.
- Portugal have won 3 matches in a row.
- None of Norway's last 10 matches had more than 25 fouls.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Cards: Under 4.5 — 73%
- Offsides: Under 4.5 — 72%
- Fouls: Under 22.5 — 69%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 10.1 corners, 3.5 cards, 20.1 fouls, 28.7 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Portugal | Norway |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 10.1 | 6.2 | 4.0 |
| Cards | 3.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Fouls | 20.1 | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| Shots | 28.7 | 15.2 | 13.5 |
| Shots on target | 8.4 | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Offsides | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Throw-ins | 32.2 | 15.8 | 16.4 |
| Goal kicks | 15.3 | 6.7 | 8.7 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+