Northern Ireland vs Georgia: preview, stats and prediction
Nations League (Europe): Northern Ireland vs Georgia, Monday, 5 October at 22:45 (GMT+4). We break down both teams' recent matches and estimate how many corners, cards and fouls to expect.
Team form
Northern IrelandLast 5: 3W 1D 1L. Goals: 1.2 scored, 0.6 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 1.4 | 6.4 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 12.8 |
| Shots | 9.0 | 15.4 |
| Shots on target | 3.4 | 3.8 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Throw-ins | 16.8 | 20.4 |
| Goal kicks | 8.2 | 6.0 |
GeorgiaLast 5: 1W 2D 2L. Goals: 0.6 scored, 0.6 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 6.0 | 3.2 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 3.8 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 12.4 |
| Shots | 12.2 | 11.4 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 3.6 |
| Offsides | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Throw-ins | 18.2 | 16.0 |
| Goal kicks | 6.2 | 7.0 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Northern Ireland 1 win, 0 draws, Georgia 0 wins.
Average per meeting:
Key facts
- Northern Ireland have had no more than 12 shots in any of their last 10 matches.
- Northern Ireland have had no more than 3 corners in any of their last 7 matches.
- Georgia have had at least 4 corners in each of their last 10 matches.
- Georgia's high in the last 10: 10 shots on target against Lithuania (2–0) — their average is 4.2.
- Northern Ireland average 3.2 cards per game at home and 1.9 away — and this one is at home.
- Georgia failed to score in 4 of their last 10 matches.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Offsides: Under 3.5 — 74%
- Cards: Under 5.5 — 67%
- Goal kicks: Over 12.5 — 67%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 9.3 corners, 4.7 cards, 25.6 fouls, 25.7 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Northern Ireland | Georgia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 9.3 | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| Cards | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| Fouls | 25.6 | 12.8 | 12.9 |
| Shots | 25.7 | 11.5 | 14.2 |
| Shots on target | 7.8 | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| Offsides | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Throw-ins | 40.3 | 18.7 | 21.6 |
| Goal kicks | 14.9 | 7.7 | 7.2 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+