Netherlands vs Serbia: preview, stats and prediction
Netherlands host Serbia on Sunday, 4 October at 22:45 (GMT+4) — Nations League (Europe). Below: team form, head-to-head record and our model's expectations for match incidents.
Team form
NetherlandsLast 5: 2W 3D 0L. Goals: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 7.0 | 4.4 |
| Cards | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| Shots | 18.4 | 10.0 |
| Shots on target | 6.4 | 4.2 |
| Offsides | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| Throw-ins | 20.4 | 18.0 |
| Goal kicks | 5.8 | 9.0 |
SerbiaLast 5: 0W 0D 5L. Goals: 0.6 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 2.4 | 6.2 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Fouls | 9.0 | 9.4 |
| Shots | 7.0 | 22.0 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 | 7.6 |
| Offsides | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Throw-ins | 15.4 | 16.2 |
| Goal kicks | 10.4 | 5.0 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Netherlands 1 win, 0 draws, Serbia 0 wins.
Average per meeting:
Key facts
- Serbia average 1.8 shots on target per game away and 5.5 at home — and this one is away.
- Serbia have lost 5 matches in a row.
- None of Serbia's last 6 matches had more than 21 fouls.
- Netherlands are unbeaten in 8 matches (4W 4D).
- None of Netherlands's last 10 matches had more than 4 cards.
- Netherlands have conceded in each of their last 11 matches.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Cards: Under 4.5 — 79%
- Offsides: Under 4.5 — 74%
- Goal kicks: Under 17.5 — 69%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 10.7 corners, 3.1 cards, 22.1 fouls, 28.8 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Netherlands | Serbia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 10.7 | 6.9 | 3.8 |
| Cards | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Fouls | 22.1 | 10.8 | 11.4 |
| Shots | 28.8 | 17.1 | 11.7 |
| Shots on target | 9.5 | 6.4 | 3.1 |
| Offsides | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Throw-ins | 34.3 | 18.0 | 16.4 |
| Goal kicks | 15.4 | 6.7 | 8.7 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+