Montenegro vs Armenia: preview, stats and prediction
Nations League (Europe): Montenegro vs Armenia, Monday, 5 October at 22:45 (GMT+4). We break down both teams' recent matches and estimate how many corners, cards and fouls to expect.
Team form
MontenegroLast 5: 4W 1D 0L. Goals: 2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Cards | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 12.2 |
| Shots | 13.0 | 12.0 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Throw-ins | 19.4 | 24.0 |
| Goal kicks | 6.6 | 8.2 |
ArmeniaLast 5: 1W 2D 2L. Goals: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 10.4 | 1.8 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 9.6 |
| Shots | 17.0 | 8.6 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 3.0 |
| Offsides | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Throw-ins | 23.8 | 17.0 |
| Goal kicks | 6.8 | 8.6 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Montenegro 2 wins, 1 draw, Armenia 2 wins.
Average per meeting:
Key facts
- Armenia average 10.4 corners per game over their last 5 matches — 144% above the league average.
- Armenia's high in the last 10: 12 shots on target against Belarus (1–2) — their average is 4.4.
- Each of the last 5 meetings between these teams had at least 38 throw-ins.
- Montenegro have won 3 matches in a row.
- Montenegro average 6.8 corners per game at home and 3.6 away — and this one is at home.
- Every one of Montenegro's last 7 matches had at least 38 throw-ins.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Offsides: Over 1.5 — 77%
- Cards: Over 2.5 — 72%
- Goal kicks: Under 18.5 — 69%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 9.9 corners, 3.9 cards, 22.7 fouls, 27.8 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Montenegro | Armenia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 9.9 | 6.3 | 3.7 |
| Cards | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Fouls | 22.7 | 11.4 | 11.3 |
| Shots | 27.8 | 15.6 | 12.2 |
| Shots on target | 11.7 | 7.4 | 4.3 |
| Offsides | 2.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Throw-ins | 42.7 | 20.8 | 21.9 |
| Goal kicks | 16.3 | 7.8 | 8.5 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+