Italy vs Turkiye: preview, stats and prediction

Team form

Italy

DWLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L. Goals: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

	For	Against
🚩Corners	4.0	5.2
🟨Cards	2.6	2.4
⚠️Fouls	13.4	11.2
⚽Shots	14.8	14.6
🎯Shots on target	4.4	4.0
🚫Offsides	2.0	0.6
↔️Throw-ins	15.0	14.6
🧤Goal kicks	7.2	7.4

Turkiye

LLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L. Goals: 0.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

	For	Against
🚩Corners	6.0	3.2
🟨Cards	2.2	2.2
⚠️Fouls	13.0	15.2
⚽Shots	18.2	13.6
🎯Shots on target	4.4	6.2
🚫Offsides	1.6	2.4
↔️Throw-ins	22.8	20.6
🧤Goal kicks	5.6	7.8

Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Italy 3 wins, 1 draw, Turkiye 0 wins.

Average per meeting:

Key facts

• 🟨Turkiye's high in the last 10: 5 cards against Kosovo (1–0) — their average is 2.
• 🟨None of the last 4 meetings between these teams had more than 3 cards.
• 📈Turkiye have lost 3 matches in a row.
• 🧤Every one of Italy's last 10 matches had at least 13 goal kicks.
• ⚽Every one of Turkiye's last 8 matches had at least 24 shots.
• 🤝Italy are unbeaten in their last 4 meetings with Turkiye.

Most confident picks

Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.

• 🚫Offsides: Under 4.5 — 75%
• 🟨Cards: Under 5.5 — 69%
• ↔️Throw-ins: Under 40.5 — 68%

Our expectations

Our model expects around 10.8 corners, 4.6 cards, 24.9 fouls, 32.3 shots in this match.