Ireland vs Israel: preview, stats and prediction
Ireland host Israel on Sunday, 4 October at 22:45 (GMT+4) — Nations League (Europe). Below: team form, head-to-head record and our model's expectations for match incidents.
Team form
IrelandLast 5: 2W 2D 1L. Goals: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 3.6 | 4.6 |
| Cards | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 14.0 |
| Shots | 7.4 | 15.0 |
| Shots on target | 2.6 | 4.4 |
| Offsides | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Throw-ins | 18.8 | 16.6 |
| Goal kicks | 9.0 | 4.2 |
IsraelLast 5: 1W 2D 2L. Goals: 0.8 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 3.0 | 5.2 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Fouls | 9.0 | 10.4 |
| Shots | 9.2 | 13.8 |
| Shots on target | 3.0 | 3.8 |
| Offsides | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Throw-ins | 12.6 | 15.4 |
| Goal kicks | 8.0 | 6.6 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Ireland 1 win, 0 draws, Israel 0 wins.
Average per meeting:
Key facts
- Ireland's high in the last 10: 14 shots on target against Grenada (5–0) — their average is 4.1.
- Ireland average 17.2 shots per game at home and 6.5 away — and this one is at home.
- None of Israel's last 7 matches had more than 31 throw-ins.
- None of Ireland's last 8 matches had more than 4 cards.
- Israel failed to score in 5 of their last 10 matches.
- Israel average 3 shots on target per game over their last 5 matches — 31% below the league average.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Cards: Under 5.5 — 77%
- Offsides: Under 4.5 — 75%
- Shots on target: Under 9.5 — 70%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 8.5 corners, 4 cards, 22.7 fouls, 27 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Ireland | Israel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 8.5 | 5.2 | 3.4 |
| Cards | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Fouls | 22.7 | 11.5 | 11.2 |
| Shots | 27.0 | 13.3 | 13.7 |
| Shots on target | 8.1 | 5.4 | 2.7 |
| Offsides | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Throw-ins | 35.4 | 19.3 | 16.1 |
| Goal kicks | 14.9 | 7.4 | 7.5 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+