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Greece vs Germany: preview, stats and prediction

Nations League (Europe) · 04.10.2026 · 22:45 (GMT+4)
Greece — Germany

Greece host Germany on Sunday, 4 October at 22:45 (GMT+4) — Nations League (Europe). Below: team form, head-to-head record and our model's expectations for match incidents.

Team form

Greece
DWWLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L. Goals: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

ForAgainst
Corners4.04.4
Cards1.81.6
Fouls9.210.0
Shots13.413.4
Shots on target3.64.4
Offsides1.62.0
Throw-ins13.618.4
Goal kicks9.45.8
Germany
WLDDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L. Goals: 1 scored, 1 conceded per game.

ForAgainst
Corners7.84.8
Cards1.02.8
Fouls13.212.0
Shots18.09.0
Shots on target4.83.6
Offsides1.41.2
Throw-ins21.815.2
Goal kicks4.213.0

Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Greece 1 win, 0 draws, Germany 1 win.

Average per meeting:

Corners13.0
Cards3.0
Fouls23.5
Shots25.0
Shots on target8.5
Offsides3.5
Throw-ins36.5
Goal kicks16.5

Key facts

Most confident picks

Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.

Our expectations

Our model expects around 10.7 corners, 3.6 cards, 23.2 fouls, 29.1 shots in this match.

IncidentTotalGreeceGermany
Corners10.76.24.5
Cards3.62.21.4
Fouls23.211.112.1
Shots29.112.516.7
Shots on target10.65.65.0
Offsides2.81.41.4
Throw-ins34.315.918.5
Goal kicks15.59.06.5

Full match stats and prediction →

This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+