France vs Belgium: preview, stats and prediction
France host Belgium on Monday, 5 October at 22:45 (GMT+4) — Nations League (Europe). Below: team form, head-to-head record and our model's expectations for match incidents.
Team form
FranceLast 5: 2W 1D 2L. Goals: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.0 | 3.2 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 11.2 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 13.4 |
| Shots on target | 6.2 | 4.0 |
| Offsides | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Throw-ins | 16.2 | 13.2 |
| Goal kicks | 5.8 | 8.2 |
BelgiumLast 5: 3W 0D 2L. Goals: 2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 3.6 | 4.6 |
| Cards | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| Shots | 13.6 | 17.2 |
| Shots on target | 5.8 | 6.2 |
| Offsides | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Throw-ins | 12.4 | 16.6 |
| Goal kicks | 8.8 | 5.4 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: France 6 wins, 1 draw, Belgium 1 win.
Average per meeting:
Key facts
- None of the last 5 meetings between these teams had more than 29 throw-ins.
- Belgium's high in the last 10: 14 corners against Tunisia (5–0) — their average is 5.
- Every one of Belgium's last 8 matches had at least 9 shots on target.
- None of the last 7 meetings between these teams had more than 24 fouls.
- France had more shots on target than their opponent in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Every one of Belgium's last 10 matches had at least 13 goal kicks.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Offsides: Under 4.5 — 78%
- Cards: Over 2.5 — 71%
- Goal kicks: Under 17.5 — 69%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 9.4 corners, 3.8 cards, 22.8 fouls, 32.2 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | France | Belgium |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 9.4 | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Cards | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Fouls | 22.8 | 11.2 | 11.6 |
| Shots | 32.2 | 17.1 | 15.1 |
| Shots on target | 11.1 | 6.2 | 4.9 |
| Offsides | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Throw-ins | 33.6 | 16.3 | 17.3 |
| Goal kicks | 15.3 | 7.4 | 8.0 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+