Cyprus vs Latvia: preview, stats and prediction
Cyprus host Latvia on Monday, 5 October at 20:00 (GMT+4) — Nations League (Europe). Below: team form, head-to-head record and our model's expectations for match incidents.
Team form
CyprusLast 5: 2W 2D 1L. Goals: 1.2 scored, 0.6 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.0 | 7.0 |
| Cards | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| Fouls | 7.6 | 12.0 |
| Shots | 12.0 | 13.2 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 3.4 |
| Offsides | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Throw-ins | 21.0 | 20.6 |
| Goal kicks | 8.4 | 6.8 |
LatviaLast 5: 0W 2D 3L. Goals: 0.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 3.8 | 6.0 |
| Cards | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 8.8 |
| Shots | 8.8 | 13.0 |
| Shots on target | 1.4 | 4.6 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Throw-ins | 17.4 | 18.0 |
| Goal kicks | 9.2 | 7.8 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Cyprus 0 wins, 2 draws, Latvia 0 wins.
Average per meeting:
Key facts
- None of Latvia's last 7 matches had more than 8 shots on target.
- Cyprus's high in the last 10: 11 corners against Latvia (0–0) — their average is 5.
- Latvia have had no more than 14 shots in any of their last 10 matches.
- Latvia are without a win in 5 matches.
- Cyprus average 2.1 cards per game at home and 3.6 away — and this one is at home.
- Cyprus average 7.6 fouls per game over their last 5 matches — 37% below the league average.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Offsides: Over 1.5 — 75%
- Cards: Under 5.5 — 72%
- Goal kicks: Under 17.5 — 67%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 9.9 corners, 4.3 cards, 23.8 fouls, 25.5 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Cyprus | Latvia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 9.9 | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| Cards | 4.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Fouls | 23.8 | 10.8 | 13.1 |
| Shots | 25.5 | 13.8 | 11.7 |
| Shots on target | 7.9 | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Offsides | 2.8 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Throw-ins | 41.3 | 21.2 | 20.2 |
| Goal kicks | 15.6 | 7.3 | 8.4 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+