Croatia vs Spain: preview, stats and prediction
Nations League (Europe): Croatia vs Spain, Tuesday, 6 October at 22:45 (GMT+4). We break down both teams' recent matches and estimate how many corners, cards and fouls to expect.
Team form
CroatiaLast 5: 2W 0D 3L. Goals: 1.2 scored, 3 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 8.0 |
| Shots | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 4.6 |
| Offsides | 1.0 | 3.2 |
| Throw-ins | 13.8 | 13.6 |
| Goal kicks | 7.6 | 5.0 |
SpainLast 5: 5W 0D 0L. Goals: 2.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| Cards | 0.6 | 4.6 |
| Fouls | 13.4 | 13.8 |
| Shots | 15.8 | 7.0 |
| Shots on target | 7.2 | 2.4 |
| Offsides | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| Throw-ins | 15.8 | 14.8 |
| Goal kicks | 5.0 | 8.0 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Croatia 2 wins, 1 draw, Spain 4 wins.
Average per meeting:
Key facts
- Spain have won 10 matches in a row.
- Spain average 3.2 shots on target per game away and 8.9 at home — and this one is away.
- Spain had more shots than their opponent in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Croatia's high in the last 10: 8 corners against Slovenia (2–1) — their average is 3.4.
- Croatia have had no more than 12 fouls in any of their last 8 matches.
- 8 of Croatia's last 10 matches had 3+ goals.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Cards: Under 4.5 — 74%
- Offsides: Under 5.5 — 73%
- Goal kicks: Under 16.5 — 69%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 8.9 corners, 3.4 cards, 22.2 fouls, 24.6 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Croatia | Spain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 8.9 | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| Cards | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Fouls | 22.2 | 11.0 | 11.2 |
| Shots | 24.6 | 9.0 | 15.5 |
| Shots on target | 8.0 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Offsides | 4.3 | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Throw-ins | 32.4 | 16.0 | 16.4 |
| Goal kicks | 14.4 | 8.2 | 6.2 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+