Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland: preview, stats and prediction
Nations League (Europe): Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland, Monday, 5 October at 22:45 (GMT+4). We break down both teams' recent matches and estimate how many corners, cards and fouls to expect.
Team form
Bosnia & HerzegovinaLast 5: 2W 2D 1L. Goals: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Cards | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 13.0 |
| Shots | 10.4 | 10.4 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Offsides | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| Throw-ins | 18.0 | 17.2 |
| Goal kicks | 7.4 | 6.6 |
PolandLast 5: 1W 2D 2L. Goals: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.0 | 3.2 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 11.6 |
| Shots | 16.6 | 9.2 |
| Shots on target | 6.2 | 3.6 |
| Offsides | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Throw-ins | 18.6 | 15.6 |
| Goal kicks | 5.4 | 9.4 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
These teams have no recent head-to-head matches with recorded statistics.
Key facts
- Bosnia & Herzegovina average 1 card per game at home and 2.6 away — and this one is at home.
- Poland had more shots than their opponent in 10 of their last 10 matches.
- Bosnia & Herzegovina's high in the last 10: 11 shots on target against Italy (1–1) — their average is 4.3.
- None of Poland's last 10 matches had more than 37 throw-ins.
- Poland had more shots on target than their opponent in 8 of their last 10 matches.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Offsides: Over 1.5 — 76%
- Goal kicks: Under 17.5 — 69%
- Shots on target: Under 11.5 — 68%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 8.9 corners, 4.7 cards, 26.4 fouls, 25.3 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 8.9 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Cards | 4.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| Fouls | 26.4 | 13.8 | 12.6 |
| Shots | 25.3 | 11.2 | 14.1 |
| Shots on target | 10.1 | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Offsides | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Throw-ins | 38.1 | 18.4 | 19.7 |
| Goal kicks | 15.3 | 7.9 | 7.5 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+