Belarus vs Finland: preview, stats and prediction
Belarus host Finland on Tuesday, 6 October at 22:45 (GMT+4) — Nations League (Europe). Below: team form, head-to-head record and our model's expectations for match incidents.
Team form
BelarusLast 5: 2W 2D 1L. Goals: 2 scored, 1 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 3.0 | 5.2 |
| Cards | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| Fouls | 15.8 | 13.2 |
| Shots | 12.0 | 12.2 |
| Shots on target | 5.0 | 3.2 |
| Offsides | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Throw-ins | 18.2 | 20.6 |
| Goal kicks | 8.6 | 8.2 |
FinlandLast 5: 2W 1D 2L. Goals: 2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 6.0 | 4.2 |
| Cards | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 12.4 |
| Shots | 12.2 | 12.8 |
| Shots on target | 4.0 | 4.4 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Throw-ins | 18.4 | 19.0 |
| Goal kicks | 7.4 | 8.2 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Belarus 0 wins, 2 draws, Finland 2 wins.
Average per meeting:
Key facts
- None of the last 4 meetings between these teams had more than 5 shots on target.
- Belarus's high in the last 10: 12 shots on target against Syria (4–1) — their average is 4.6.
- Belarus average 2 cards per game at home and 4 away — and this one is at home.
- Every one of Belarus's last 7 matches had at least 14 goal kicks.
- Finland are unbeaten in their last 4 meetings with Belarus.
- Finland average 1 card per game over their last 5 matches — 53% below the league average.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Offsides: Under 3.5 — 77%
- Cards: Under 5.5 — 75%
- Shots: Under 30.5 — 66%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 8.9 corners, 4.2 cards, 26.5 fouls, 28.1 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Belarus | Finland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 8.9 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| Cards | 4.2 | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Fouls | 26.5 | 13.6 | 12.9 |
| Shots | 28.1 | 12.8 | 15.3 |
| Shots on target | 9.8 | 3.8 | 6.0 |
| Offsides | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Throw-ins | 37.6 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| Goal kicks | 15.8 | 8.5 | 7.4 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+