Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: preview, stats and prediction

Team form

Azerbaijan

DDWWL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L. Goals: 0.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

	For	Against
🚩Corners	6.0	2.2
🟨Cards	2.6	2.4
⚠️Fouls	11.4	12.8
⚽Shots	17.6	9.4
🎯Shots on target	5.4	3.0
🚫Offsides	1.4	1.6
↔️Throw-ins	20.2	20.4
🧤Goal kicks	6.2	8.2

Lithuania

WDWLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L. Goals: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded per game.

	For	Against
🚩Corners	5.2	1.8
🟨Cards	2.4	3.0
⚠️Fouls	13.0	14.2
⚽Shots	11.0	6.4
🎯Shots on target	4.8	2.0
🚫Offsides	2.2	0.4
↔️Throw-ins	23.8	20.8
🧤Goal kicks	5.6	7.8

Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Azerbaijan 0 wins, 2 draws, Lithuania 0 wins.

Average per meeting:

Key facts

• 🚩Azerbaijan average 5.7 corners per game at home and 1 away — and this one is at home.
• 🟨Lithuania's high in the last 10: 9 cards against Estonia (0–1) — their average is 2.6.
• ↔️Every one of Azerbaijan's last 8 matches had at least 34 throw-ins.
• 🥅Lithuania failed to score in 5 of their last 10 matches.
• ⚽Azerbaijan average 17.6 shots per game over their last 5 matches — 36% above the league average.

Most confident picks

Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.

• 🚫Offsides: Under 3.5 — 75%
• 🟨Cards: Under 6.5 — 74%
• 🧤Goal kicks: Under 17.5 — 71%

Our expectations

Our model expects around 8.2 corners, 5.1 cards, 27.8 fouls, 24.5 shots in this match.