Albania vs San Marino: preview, stats and prediction
Nations League (Europe): Albania vs San Marino, Tuesday, 6 October at 22:45 (GMT+4). We break down both teams' recent matches and estimate how many corners, cards and fouls to expect.
Team form
AlbaniaLast 5: 2W 0D 3L. Goals: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 7.6 | 3.6 |
| Cards | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 14.0 |
| Shots | 15.8 | 9.2 |
| Shots on target | 4.4 | 2.8 |
| Offsides | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Throw-ins | 18.2 | 12.0 |
| Goal kicks | 7.6 | 10.0 |
San MarinoLast 5: 0W 0D 5L. Goals: 0.4 scored, 3.6 conceded per game.
| For | Against | |
|---|---|---|
| Corners | 4.0 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Fouls | 14.6 | 12.0 |
| Shots | 8.0 | 16.0 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 | 6.4 |
| Offsides | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Throw-ins | 22.2 | 22.0 |
| Goal kicks | 9.0 | 5.2 |
Incidents — average over the last 5 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Albania 4 wins, 0 draws, San Marino 0 wins.
Average per meeting:
Key facts
- Albania's high in the last 10: 6 cards against Finland (1–2) — their average is 1.9.
- San Marino have lost 5 matches in a row.
- San Marino have had no more than 13 shots in any of their last 10 matches.
- San Marino failed to score in 6 of their last 10 matches.
- None of Albania's last 10 matches had more than 28 shots.
- Albania average 6.3 corners per game at home and 3.7 away — and this one is at home.
Most confident picks
Percentage — our model's probability that the line lands.
- Offsides: Under 3.5 — 77%
- Cards: Over 3.5 — 71%
- Goal kicks: Under 17.5 — 68%
Our expectations
Our model expects around 8.8 corners, 5 cards, 27.2 fouls, 24.8 shots in this match.
| Incident | Total | Albania | San Marino |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 8.8 | 6.0 | 2.8 |
| Cards | 5.0 | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| Fouls | 27.2 | 12.4 | 14.8 |
| Shots | 24.8 | 15.6 | 9.2 |
| Shots on target | 9.7 | 6.3 | 3.3 |
| Offsides | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Throw-ins | 39.4 | 21.2 | 18.2 |
| Goal kicks | 15.4 | 6.1 | 9.3 |
Full match stats and prediction →
This analysis was generated automatically by our statistical model, updated 04.10.2026 · 03:52. It is not betting advice. 18+